The Post’s Steve Serby breaks down the NFC, division by division:
NFC East
1. Philadelphia Eagles
Serby Says: 10-6. Nick Foles can hold the fort if he must until Carson Wentz is full go.
Coach: Doug Pederson
2017 record: 13-3
O/U wins: 10 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 9/1
First-and-goal: Carson Wentz is the class of the division. Pederson is a fearless playcaller (see Philly Special). The formidable offensive line returns intact and has the chemistry everyone craves. WRs Alshon Jeffery, emerging Nelson Agholor and veteran Mike Wallace form a solid trio. TE Zach Ertz is elite, and backup Dallas Goedert will be a red-zone weapon. RB/PR Darren Sproles is still dangerous at 35. RB Corey Clement is a nice safety valve out of the backfield behind Jay Ajayi. Jim Schwartz has a loaded defensive line, anchored by DT Fletcher Cox and DE Michael Bennett. Man mountain Haloti Ngata holds the fort for Timmy Jernigan (herniated disc surgery). MLB Jordan Hicks is healthy again alongside strongside LB Nigel Bradham. The secondary is loaded with CB Sidney Jones, who missed his rookie year with a torn Achilles, and fourth-round rookie Avonte Maddox vying for playing time. Shoutout to special teams coordinator Dave Fipp.
Fourth-and-long: OC Frank Reich accepted the Colts HC job that Josh McDaniels spurned at the 11th hour. Mike Groh, son of Al, replaces him. Jeffery (shoulder) won’t be ready until Week 3. LT Jason Peters is 36 and returning from a torn ACL. Fipp aims to improve the 27th-ranked kick-return average. Jones or Maddox will endure growing pains replacing Patrick Robinson at the nickel. Can Cameron Johnston handle the punting?
2. Giants
Serby Says: 9-7. Eli Manning has so many weapons and time to find them for a change.
Coach: Pat Shurmur
2017 record: 3-13
O/U wins: 7
Super Bowl odds: 22/1
First-and-goal: $95 million man Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley are the division’s version of Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell. Then throw in the emerging Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram. NYTD Blue. LT Nate Solder stabilizes a remodeled offensive line. When his ankle heals, OLB Olivier Vernon will be a terror in coordinator James Bettcher’s 3-4 defense. Good luck running into Snacks Harrison. Special teams have been upgraded. Shurmur is the calm after the storm, and a damn good play-caller. Manning doesn’t look 37. Shurmur thinks his completion percentage can be a career-best 65 percent … or better.
Fourth-and-long: Jason Pierre-Paul was their best pass rusher; he’s in Tampa. The secondary is counting on Eli Apple and lacks depth. Who will return punts and kicks? Can PK Aldrick Rosas be trusted? Can Ereck Flowers solve RT? Manning is 37.
3. Dallas Cowboys
Serby Says: 7-9. Marked man Ezekiel Elliott can’t do everything.
Coach: Jason Garrett
2017 record: 9-7
O/U wins: 8
Super Bowl odds: 25/1
First-and-goal: RB Ezekiel Elliott will be a marked man and more of a factor in the passing game behind an offensive line that can be great again. QB Dak Prescott is an instinctive improviser. Rookie WR Michael Gallup looks like a playmaker. DE Demarcus Lawrence is a double-digit sacker and LB Sean Lee is the brains of the operation, although he’s 32 and injury-prone. The pass rush could be ferocious once DE David Irving (seven sacks in eight games last season) returns from a four-game suspension, and if DE Randy Gregory stays on the straight and narrow. OLB Jaylon Smith is rewarding Jerry Jones for his patience. Converted safety Byron Jones has impressed at cornerback.
Fourth-and-long: The vaunted line will miss C Travis Frederick (Guillain-Barre Syndrome). Prescott isn’t your protypical pocket passer and he no longer will be throwing to TE Jason Witten — Geoff Swaim, anyone? — or Dez Bryant. Allen Hurns is not a No. 1 receiver. Garrett has the perfect temperament for Jones, but he needs to make the playoffs and maybe win a game there. Can former CFL PK Brett Maher really replace Dan Bailey?
4. Washinton Redskins
Serby Says: 6-10. The lack of a bellcow running back won’t help Alex Smith.
Coach: Jay Gruden
2017 record: 7-9
O/U wins: 6 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 100/1
First-and-goal: QB Alex Smith is more than a game manager. OLB Ryan Kerrigan hasn’t missed a game in seven seasons and has 71.5 sacks. Offensive line coach Bill Callahan is elite, and LT Trent Williams and G Brandon Scherff are Hog Heaven. Slippery WR Jamison Crowder will catch his 60 passes. RB Chris Thompson returns from a broken fibula as an elite safety valve in the passing game. Back-to-back Alabama first-round pick DTs Jonathan Allen and Da’Ron Payne should bolster the interior run defense in front of LB Zach Brown. Trash-talking sparkplug D.J. Swearinger and Montae Nicholson should make a nice safety tandem.
Fourth-and-long: Smith is a game manager. Second-round rookie RB Derrius Guice (ACL) was expected to juice the ailing ground game. A 33-year-old Adrian Peterson scares no one. They’re still waiting for pogo stick WR Josh Doctson to break out. Can TE Jordan Reed avoid the injury bug? OBJ nemesis Josh Norman is 30. Kerrigan would welcome a bookend pass rusher. Or the young Dexter Manley. WR Paul Richardson has 95 career receptions but got $20 million in guarantees to be Gruden’s deep threat. Crowder slumped as a punt returner last season.
NFL North
1. Minnesota Vikings
Serby Says: 10-6. For $84 million guaranteed, Kirk Cousins isn’t expected to require a Minny Miracle to take his new team to the Super Bowl.
Coach: Mike Zimmer
2017 record: 13-3
O/U wins: 10
Super Bowl odds: 10/1
First-and-goal: It’s Super Bowl-or-Bust for new QB Kirk Cousins. He’ll love throwing to WRs Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs and TE Kyle Rudolph. RB Dalvin Cook is a difference-maker returning from a torn ACL. DE Everson Griffen, CB Xavier Rhodes and S Harrison Smith are Purple People Eaters on Zimmer’s defense. DE Danielle Hunter can be a double-digit sacker. MLB Eric Kendricks has the speed and OLB Anthony Barr has the size. DT Sheldon Richardson adds toughness alongside NT Linval Joseph. First-round rookie CB/KR Mike Hughes averaged 31.8 yards on kickoff returns at Central Florida last season.
Fourth-and-long: The offensive line is nothing special. New OC John DeFilippo comes highly touted, but he’s replacing Pat Shurmur. The coverage units have struggled, although special teams coordinator Mike Priefer is solid. PK Daniel Carlson has a big leg … but he’s a rookie.
2. Green Bay Packers
Serby Says: 10-6. Aaron Rodgers will show everyone why he is worth $103 million guaranteed.
Coach: Mike McCarthy
2017 record: 7-9
O/U wins: 10
Super Bowl odds: 10/1
First-and-goal: Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Rodgers. Pro Bowl WR Davonte Adams is his Go-To Guy. TE Jimmy Graham should be a red-zone monster. WR Randall Cobb is a dependable slot receiver. LT David Bakhtiari and RT Bryan Bulaga give Rodgers comfort. Mike Daniels, Kenny Clark and Muhammad Wilkerson — if he’s motivated and not late to meetings — make for a stout defensive line. A trio of high draft choices at cornerback — Kevin King last year, Jaire Alexander and Josh Jackson this year — will make new DC Mike Pettine happy. OLB Clay Matthews is 32, but he’s Clay Matthews. OLB Nick Perry has 18 sacks over the past two years. ILB Blake Martinez registered 144 tackles in 2017. PK Mason Crosby was only 15-of-19 last season, but is 80 percent FGs for his career.
Fourth-and-long: Bulaga is recovering from a torn ACL suffered in Week 9. Aaron Jones serves a two-game suspension but will be an afterthought along with fellow RBs Ty Montgomery and Jamaal Williams. Matthews and Perry have been injury-prone and depth is a problem. The strength of schedule is the most difficult in the league.
3. Chicago Bears
Serby Says: 7-9. It’s the wrong division for a rookie head coach and second-year quarterback.
Coach: Matt Nagy
2017 record: 5-11
O/U wins: 7
Super Bowl odds: 60/1
First-and-goal: DE Khalil Mack is a game-changing Monster of the Midway who makes Da Bears a top-five defense. Nagy is a creative playcaller. The idea is for him to have the same impact on Mitchell Trubisky as Sean McVay had on Jared Goff. The talent has been upgraded for Trubisky: WRs Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel and TE Trey Burton. RB Jordan Howard has averaged more than 1,200 rushing yards in his two seasons and rookie LG James Daniels boosts a quality line. RB Tarik Cohen can be Tyreek Hill Lite. Second-round WR Anthony Miller has swag and a chip on his shoulder. OLB Leonard Floyd can be a double-digit sacker if he can finally stay healthy. DE Akiem Hicks (8.5 sacks last season) is ascending. Shutdown corner Kyle Fuller highlights an impressive secondary. First-round MLB Roquan Smith is a leader. Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is widely respected.
Fourth-and-long: Trubisky has played 12 games. OLB Aaron Lynch is not a trustworthy bookend for Floyd. Somebody needs to step up opposite Hicks. Punter Pat O’Donnell was signed to a one-year, $500,000 guaranteed deal.
4. Detroit Lions
Serby Says: 6-10. Matt Patricia can’t fix the defense right away.
Coach: Matt Patricia
2017 record: 9-7
O/U wins: 8
Super Bowl odds: 50/1
First-and-goal: Clutch Matthew Stafford has an 85-33 TD-INT ratio over the past three seasons. Deep threat Marvin Jones and slot receiver Golden Tate complement each other beautifully, and second-year WR Kenny Golladay is a stock riser. Football isn’t rocket science, but don’t tell the rookie head coach Patricia. OC Jim Bob Cooter was retained, and you just can’t say or write Jim Bob Cooter enough. Rookie RB Kerryon Johnson looks like a keeper. LeGarrette Blount can still move a pile. Theo Riddick has caught 186 passes out of the backfield the past three seasons. Rookie first-round LG Frank Ragnow adds physicality to a line that should be much improved (47 sacks allowed in 2017). A healthy Ziggy Ansah will provide the pass rush. CB Darius “Big Play” Slay (eight INTs) should be avoided by QBs.
Fourth-and-long: The run defense will be vulnerable against Dalvin Cook and Jordan Howard. MLB Jarrad Davis struggled as a rookie. The new TEs are Luke Willson and Levine Toilolo, not exactly John Mackey and Rob Gronkowski. Who on the defensive line helps Ansah rush the passer? Answer: Patricia’s schemes. The cornerback opposite Slay will be busy.
NFC West
1. Los Angeles Rams
Serby Says: 10-6. The offense averaged 29.9 ppg last season and the defense has added reinforcements in an eminently winnable division.
Coach: Sean McVay
2017 record: 11-5
O/U wins: 9 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 17/2
First-and-goal: McVay, the precocious head coach, revived QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley in a nanosecond. Defensive coordinator Wade Phillips will be in charge of controlling volatile CBs Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib with Trumaine Johnson now a Jet. Safety Lamarcus Joyner is a rising star. DT Ndamukong Suh will enjoy playing alongside holdout superstar Aaron Donald. New McVay toy WR Brandin Cooks will make life easier for WRs Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. The left side of the line boasts 36-year-old LT Andrew Whitworth and Rodger Saffold. Special teams coordinator John Fassel is a genius daredevil.
Fourth-and-long: Robert Quinn’s 8.5 sacks in 2017 and 62.5 over seven years have to be replaced. So does LB Alec Ogletree’s leadership. Shane Waldron replaces Matt LaFleur, who is now the Titans’ offensive coordinator. The strength of schedule is tied for fifth-hardest with the Browns.
2. San Francisco 49ers
Serby Says: 9-7. A second-round pick for Jimmy Garoppolo? Well done, John Lynch.
Coach: Kyle Shanahan
2017 record: 6-10
O/U wins: 9
Super Bowl odds: 14/1
First-and-goal: Garoppolo looked like Joe Montana in winning the last five games of the 2017 season. Shanahan is perfect for him. Speedy WR Marquise Goodwin complements big possession receiver Pierre Garcon. No one was more productive on slant routes than WR Trent Taylor. Kyle Juszczyk is a Pro Bowl fullback. 34-year-old LT Joe Staley anchors a line upgraded by C Weston Richburg and first-round rookie RT Mike McGlinchey. DT DeForest Buckner looks like the seventh pick of the 2016 draft. PK Robbie Gould was 39-of-41 on FGs.
Fourth-and-long: The loss of RB Jerick McKinnon (ACL) hurts. Alfred Morris and Matt Breida are OK, but not the same pass-catching threat. CB Richard Sherman has a 30-year-old rehabbed Achilles, so who knows whether GM John Lynch’s three-year, $27.15 million bet will pay off? Former first-round picks DE Arik Armstead and DE Solomon Thomas need to make more of a pass-rush impact. LB Reuben Foster, another former top pick, will serve a two-game suspension and needs to prove he isn’t a character risk. Guards Laken Tomlinson and Joshua Garnett don’t inspire confidence.
3. Seattle Seahawks
Serby Says: 7-9. The Legion of Boom has gone bust.
Coach: Pete Carroll
2017 record: 9-7
O/U wins: 7 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 50/1
First-and-goal: QB Russell Wilson is part Fran Tarkenton, part Houdini. Good luck trying to cover WR Doug Baldwin, who has a chip on his shoulder that former Panthers WR Steve Smith would be proud of. Neither first-round pick RB Rashaad Penny or Chris Carson is Beast Mode, but they’ll take some heat off Wilson. NT Jarran Reed and DL Frank Clark look like rising stars. Poised second-year CB Shaquill Griffin replaces Richard Sherman. LBs Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright and S Earl Thomas offer speed and range.
Fourth-and-long: Thomas was a summer pay-me-or-trade-me holdout. How does Tedric Thompson grab you? Right cornerback is a question mark. The offensive line has been an Achilles heel forever. LT Duane Brown has pelts on the wall, but RT Germain Ifedi is under fire. Is there a pass rusher in the house? Barkevious Mingo, anyone? Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer replaces Darrell Bevell. Defensive coordinator Ken Norton Jr. replaces Kris Richard. Punter Michael Dickson replaces Jon Ryan.
4. Arizona Cardinals
Serby Says: 5-11. Rookie head coach, and rookie quarterback before too long.
Coach: Steve Wilks
2017 record: 8-8
O/U wins: 5 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 75/1
First-and-goal: QB Sam Bradford holds the fort until first-rounder Josh Rosen gets to prove nine teams made a mistake by drafting someone not named Josh Rosen. Larry Fitzgerald is the Tom Brady of wide receivers. RB David Johnson, the NFC version of Le’Veon Bell, is back from the fractured wrist that cost him virtually all of last season. DE Chandler Jones and CB Patrick Peterson are All-Pros and S Budda Baker registered 16 special-teams tackles to make the Pro Bowl. Moneybacker Deone Bucannon will be calling the plays. LG Mike Iupati is rejuvenated and RG Justin Pugh has plenty to prove. Second-round WR Christian Kirk is a dangerous punt returner.
Fourth-and-long: Center A.Q. Shipley (torn ACL) will be difficult to replace. Maybe CB Jamar Taylor can hold up opposite Peterson. He’ll be targeted plenty. DE Markus Golden returns from a torn ACL. FS Antoine Bethea is 34. The Honey Badger is in Houston. Wilks is a leader, but Bruce Arians is a tough act to follow.
NFC South
1. New Orleans Saints
Serby Says: 10-6. Mardi Gras for Sean Payton and Drew Brees.
Coach: Sean Payton
2017 record: 11-5
O/U wins: 9 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 14/1
First-and-goal: QB Drew Brees hasn’t shrunk. Neither has his completion percentage (72.0 percent). Teddy Bridgewater is quality insurance. Payton and Brees form a dynamic offensive brain trust. RB Alvin Kamara is a dual-threat game-changer. RB Mark Ingram will return following his four-game suspension. The offensive line is big and cohesive. Rookie WR Tre’Quan Smith has opened eyes even more than Cameron Meredith (knee). The Giants coveted Sterling Shepard over WR Michael Thomas. DE Cam Jordan might have a bookend in rookie first-rounder Marcus Davenport. Marshon Lattimore is a shutdown corner. FS Marcus Williams will recover from his Minnesota Miracle Mistake. MLB Demario Davis will assume a leadership role. Punter Thomas Morstead is a weapon. So is special teams coach Mike Westhoff.
Fourth-and-long: Ingram misses four weeks. Whoever plays opposite Lattimore better brace for getting picked on. The tight end position hasn’t been the same since Jimmy Graham was traded.
2. Atlanta Falcons
Serby Says: 10-6. Matty Ice again stalks the Lombardi Trophy That Got Away.
Coach: Dan Quinn
2017 record: 10-6
O/U wins: 9 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 15/1
First-and-goal: $150 Million Man Matt Ryan and stud WR Julio Jones will connect for more than three TDs this season. First-round WR Calvin Ridley is a nice route-running complement. RBs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman are a Dynamic Duo. Center Alex Mack anchors an established line. Vic Beasley is back at defensive end after tailing off at outside linebacker following a 15.5-sack 2016. DE Takkarist McKinley (six sacks as a rookie) is a relentless bookend. DT Grady Jarrett, Pro Bowl MLB Deion Jones and enforcer S Keanu Neal are good run-stoppers. Jones added 10 passes defensed and three INTs. OLB De’Vondre Campbell can supply a pass rush. CBs Desmond Trufant and Robert Alford are a formidable tandem. Safety Damontae Kazee has opened eyes. PK Matt Bryant is 43, but was 34-of-39 and 8-of-9 from 50 yards or more last season. Quinn still fosters a Brotherhood. Defensive coordinator Marquand Manuel is a rising star.
Fourth-and-long: Offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian was a drop-off from Kyle Shanahan. He should have better chemistry this season with Ryan and Jones. NT Dontari Poe took his 346 pounds to Carolina.
3. Carolina Panthers
Serby Says: 7-9. New OC Norv Turner will help Cam Newton, just not enough.
Coach: Ron Rivera
2017 record: 11-5
O/U wins: 9
Super Bowl odds: 40/1
First-and-goal: QB Cam Newton has been handed three flashy weapons in the last two drafts: RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Curtis Samuel and WR D.J. Moore. TE Greg Olsen wasn’t quite ready for television and WR Devin Funchess is a tall target. RB C.J. Anderson should be a motivated complement to McCaffrey. DT Dontari Poe will help Kawann Short defy the run. MLB Luke Kuechly is an eternal tackling machine. LB Shaq Thompson should emerge in his fourth season.
Fourth-and-long: LB Thomas Davis is a terrific leader, but he’ll miss the first four weeks (PED suspension). The secondary looks problematic against Drew Brees and Matt Ryan. Rookie Donte Jackson might be the replacement for CB Ross Cockrell (broken leg). CB James Bradberry has four INTs in his two seasons. The previous two defensive coordinators, Sean McDermott and Steve Wilks, are now head coaches, so Eric Washington has to step up. DE Julius Peppers has 154.5 career sacks, but he’s 38 for crying out loud.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Serby Says: 5-11. Keep the hot seat warm for Dirk Koetter.
Coach: Dirk Koetter
2017 record: 5-11
O/U wins: 6 ¹/₂
Super Bowl odds: 200/1
First-and-goal: WR Mike Evans got $55 million guaranteed in his new deal. DeSean Jackson can still take the top off a defense. WR Chris Godwin and TE O.J. Howard could make impacts. TE Cameron Brate is smart and dependable. DEs Jason Pierre-Paul and Vinny Curry will help bulked-up Noah Spence rush the passer, and first-round rookie DT Vita Vea will help Gerald McCoy stuff the run. LBs Lavonte David and Kwon Alexander are playmakers.
Fourth-and-long: Jameis Winston earned his three-game suspension. He wants to teach his son to respect women. GOOD IDEA!!! Ryan Fitzpatrick gets the Saints, Steelers and Eagles. It’s not what you want. No one had a worse pass defense in 2017. Will big-play second-round rookie RB Ronald Jones II take command of the backfield? CB Vernon Hargreaves has one interception in his two seasons. CB Brent Grimes secured a one-year, $10 million contract, but he just turned 35. Koetter barely survived 2017.